10 Years of Democracy, 10 Years of "Shares" Madness
Nigeria, the acclaimed most populous black nation, marked 10
years of a succesful transition from one civillian administration
to another few days ago . However during the last ten years, a
lot has happened in various sectors of the economy and one
of the affected sector is the financial sector, from the
recapitalisation era to share scandals, but Democratic governance
has no doubt impacted on the growth, performance and yields
in the sector espectially in the capital market.
The capital market has withnessed a "mixed grill" in the last 10
years.
For investors, it was a period of harvest between 1999 and March
2008 after which the market begin to withness what many
believed still the worst experience ever at the market between
April 2008 and December 2008.
The Nigerian stock market suffered its worst fall in the almost
five decades history of the stock exchange in the nation,
depreciating from N10.18 tr to N6.957tr by end of 2008
thereby loosing N3.223tr or 32 percent.
But however bad this may sound, there is still some better side
of it as the total number of listed equity rose to
207 as at May 2009 from 106 in 1999 while listed securities
rose from 268 to 295 during the same period.
eventhough, the market withness a "mad rush" for shares in the
last four years of the period under review with several share
prices dropping below expectations while some very few are
growing stronger, Market Capitalisation rose from N222.24bn in
May 1999 to N12.39tr as at March 2008 before slidding to
N6.5tr in May 2009.{eventhough its still an appreciation compare
to about N4tr as at December 2008}
So many people now only have shares certificate
{if you are lucky to get yours} to look at , as the figure
on some certicates {share value} has dropped and only a
miracle can bring some of the companies back on track ..that is
if they even survive anyway!, ...i pity the poor civil
servants, i pity the poor market women, the average labourer who
prior to now had thought buying shares or owning a piece of....a
company is an automatic ticket to making millions, not knowing
that there are lots more than they can see.
Anyway, the market hasnt really performed too badly in the last
10 years only that you need to look before you jump..like my
area boyz paddy paddy will say, "Watch and
shadow".
Its not all Naira and Kobo you have got that you have to pump
into the market in anticipation for a multiple returns in few
weeks {as some people think}, learn about the risk in the market
seek advice from real proffessional {because there are lot of
unreal ones out there}..and then invest a portion of your excess
funds into the market and dont forget.."Watch and Shadow"


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